NBA picks and parlays by our experts 2021

The NBA season is one of the most interesting parts of the year from a sports betting perspective. With 82 games for each team over the course of the season, relying on NBA expert committees is paramount unless you are a kind of statesman. Each game produces tons of data to browse and analyze, and most of us mortals simply do not have the time to do so.

Rebounds, steals, free throws, three throws, turnovers, we could go on forever, but that’s not why we’re here. We’re here to tell you that you do not have to worry about any of it. The only percentage you need to worry about is the hit rate, and we’re not talking about Shaq’s penalty throw. We’re talking about experts making NBA choices for a living. Their hit rate.

Set aside a few minutes and we’ll guide you through how addiction to NBA choices can make or break your bankroll, but first we’d like to start you off with a few of the best betting apps for your consideration. See you below!

T&C Apply, you must be at least 21 years old, please read all terms on the sportsbook site.
 T&C Apply, you must be at least 21 years old, please read all terms on the sportsbook site.
T&C Apply, you must be at least 21 years old, please read all terms on the sportsbook site.
T&C Apply, you must be at least 21 years old, please read all terms on the sportsbook site.

How to place Value Bets on the NBA

The most effective way to make money when betting on the NBA is to spot value bets. What do we mean by that? In short, a value bet is any bet where there is a possible error with the price, in YOUR favor.

Professional handicapped players who regularly provide NBA selections know exactly where to look to identify value bets before sports books realize their flaws. It’s a bit of a cat and mouse game, and you need to be several steps ahead and act fast. Let us guide you through an example of how this works, just to give you an idea of ​​the time and effort that goes into NBA selection.

First, you need to know where to start looking. It may sound a little morbid, but the injury list is a good place to start. Each team plays more than 80 games each season, and players are often on the bench or sideline due to injuries. The lack of key players in the ranks will definitely affect the outcome of the match, and this will also be reflected in the NBA elections.

Second, with so many NBA players on social media platforms, it is possible to retrieve valuable information in real time. Do not underestimate the importance of a tweet or post on Facebook or Instagram. Messages that can fluctuate the odds quickly. You should always track your NBA picks to stay on top.

And last but not least, the money can be found by following regular online media. Anywhere and anywhere you can retrieve valuable information is amazing!

What is the best way to bet using our NBA picks?

The best way to bet on our NBA selection is to make it responsible with a strong bankroll management strategy. There are several ways to approach bankroll management in sports betting, as some players choose to bet the same amount on each bet, while others choose to weight bets differently depending on how strong they feel about those bets. Either way, it is crucial for success to set strict amounts for these plans.

The first and last rule of bankroll management is to never bet more than you can afford to lose. If you dive into your children’s college fund, you’ve gone too far. Always make sure your bills are paid before you start betting on NBA picks. As a rule of thumb, do not exceed 3% of your available bankroll on a single bet or accumulator.

When should you bet on your chosen NBA picks? This is an ongoing debate with two directions. There are those who prefer to get their bets in as soon as possible if the bet line moves, while others wait until the last minute to see if the line will move enough to generate value bets.

Moneyline NBA selection

Moneyline NBA picks are usually pretty interesting. While this is the easiest form of betting to understand, it can also be the most difficult form of betting. When you think of the best choices that NBA fans have come to look for in the NBA betting market, most players think primarily of point spreads, totals, and props. But there are occasional places where moneyline betting is justified.

In the NBA money line market, you simply bet on which team you should win. That sounds easy enough, right? It certainly sounds a lot easier than predicting who will beat the spread, but basketball odds are structured so there is less value in betting on favorites. When betting on NBA money lines, players have to risk more money to win with favorites, while they can win more than they risk when playing underdogs.

For example, if the Denver Nuggets play against the Houston Rockets, the Nuggets could be a -200 favorite, while the Rockets could be priced at +150 as underdogs. In that case, risk $ 200 to win $ 100 when betting on Nuggets, or risk $ 100 on Rockets to win $ 150. Players need to be careful with the money line for this reason as constant betting favorites are not guaranteed to be profitable.

Over / Under NBA picks

Over / under betting in the NBA is a market where every single possession, pass and shot feels important. In this market, players are asked to predict whether the total number of points scored in a basketball match will be above or below the total number indicated by a betting site entering the game. With the number of possessions taking place during a basketball game, this is a market where a host of factors can determine the outcome of the bet. If you’re looking for NBA picks over / under, you can bet a lot of research has been done.

When players bet on the over / under market, they need to think about the offensive and defensive efficiencies of each team on the field. But that’s just the beginning, as players also have to dive into the matchups that will take place between members of each position group on each team. They also need to consider the pace on each team, as the higher the pace on each side, the more shots will be taken, which can help the transition.

The best NBA players include over / under bets on a regular basis, as this is a market where players can often find value in relation to the market. It is a market where perception and reality often collide, as players expect teams with the best players to exceed the total on a regular basis. But this is not always a guarantee, as different combinations of tempo and matchups have the potential to change the result of the total more than the star power on the floor.

Best NBA betting selection for the regular season

The majority of the free choices NBA fans will see during the NBA season relate to the regular season. With 82 matches per. teams in the regular season, there are far more matches to play in the regular season, which means more chances to find value in the betting markets. And players can count on more than single-game bets such as point spreads, totals and money lines.

Regular season futures are also covered here, such as season win totals, division winner bets and regular season prizes. Among the awards covered are the league’s MVP Award, Coach of the Year, Defender of the Year and Rookie of the Year.

These are the most prestigious individual honors a player can receive during the regular season, and the stakes on these prizes can change dramatically during the season.

Basically, for every betting market, there is one person ready to offer their NBA picks.

NBA Eastern Conference Elections

The Eastern Conference in the NBA is the most competitive it has been in a long time, as several teams have improved dramatically in the conference over the last few years. 2020-2021 NBA champion Milwaukee Bucks is the perfect example of a team that is rising rapidly in the East to win a championship. And this season, more teams will look to achieve the same as the Bucks did.

In terms of the best NBA picks for the Eastern Conference, the Bucks are not a bad choice to win the conference title again this season. Despite winning the NBA Finals, Milwaukee was not the favorite to win the East this year, as the Brooklyn Nets were categorized as favorites to win the conference and NBA Finals before the season. But Milwaukee is pretty much the same team that won it all in 2021 and could do it again behind Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Under the Bucks, the New York Knicks could be a smart choice to win the Eastern Conference. They dramatically improved their starting lineup in the offseason, swapping Elfrid Payton and Reggie Bullock on the roster with Kemba Walker and Evan Fournier. These changes will make them a better offensive team by leaps and bounds, which could get them over the hump.

NBA Western Conference Elections

The Western Conference has been the superior conference in the NBA for decades, as teams like the Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors have won the NBA Finals out of the West in recent years. This season, the competition balance in the league is better than it has been for a long time, and the Western Conference has several teams that can represent the conference in the final.

When looking at NBA betting tips on which team can win the Western Conference, the Denver Nuggets are as good a choice as anyone. They have the reigning NBA MVP in Nikola Jokic and some new talent like Michael Porter Jr. to back him up. If they can maintain a respectable seed for the playoffs, Jamal Murray could return to help push them over the top.

Last year’s Western Conference champion Phoenix Suns should not be overlooked in the Western Conference either. Led by Chris Paul, Devin Booker and DeAndre Ayton, the Suns have possibly the most balanced scoring attack in the NBA right now. That balance will serve them well in the playoffs, as the Suns can beat teams in more ways than your average challenger.

NBA Playoffs selection

NBA playoff picks are vastly different from picks for the regular season, as pressure and physical fatigue begin to take their toll on both players and teams. Any sign of weakness is taken into account and the choices tend to become more and more detailed. Players need to think about the adjustments made within a series and how fluctuations in home advantage can change the outcome between two teams from one match to the next.

When playing in the playoffs, players also need to think more about how the teams perform late in basketball games. During the regular season, teams that are not stars are more likely to give players a chance to finish matches for them. But in the playoffs, the teams with the most star power are in the best position to succeed, as the stars are the players who get given the ball down the stretch in the off-season.

Players also need to think about how they bet on totals in the NBA Finals. In the playoffs, the defensive intensity increases relative to what the teams produce in the regular season at the defensive end of the floor. It could give more unders, but the totals are often adjusted to reflect the differences in defensive intensity, and players need to compare these adjustments with the changes in offensive productivity that they see in the playoffs.

Conclusion

When making NBA selections, the most important thing to remember is that sports betting is about long-term profit. When pursuing NBA choices, the goal is to win in the long run by following the principles of discipline with bankroll management and betting choices.

Players who do so will maximize their chances of achieving a long-term NBA betting profit, while players who do not quite end up losing money in the long run.


The news and editorial staff of The Denver Post had no role in the preparation of this post.

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