New poll shows how embracing Trump could backfire in Michigan

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President Donald Trump at a Battle Creek Campaign in 2019. - MAX ELRAM, SHUTTERSTOCK

  • Max Elram, Shutterstock
  • President Donald Trump at a campaign rally in Battle Creek in 2019.

Less than a third of likely voters in Michigan view former President Donald Trump positively, a fall that could mean problems for his zealous supporters who are running, according to a new Detroit News/ WDIV poll.

With 31%, Trump’s declining favoritism comes at a time when Republican candidates are embracing the former president and his baseless conspiracy theories. The state GOP has also connected its carriage to the Trump train.

At the state level, Republicans are trying to win back the posts of governor, attorney general and secretary of state in the November general election. Republicans are also hoping to retain control of the state House and Senate, but that will not be easy after a two-party commission in December redeveloped districts previously doomed to favor the GOP.

After Trump narrowly defeated Michigan in 2016, he lost the state to Joe Biden 51% to 48%.

If Republicans continue to fully embrace Trump, they could alienate a lot of voters, says David Dulio, a professor of political science at Oakland University. Metro Times.

“They’re going to lose and be in the minority for years if they try to shut out moderate Republicans,” Dulio said. Metro Times. “In a (swing) district, they’re going to lose if they run a hardcore Trump supporter against an established Democrat. If that happens, Democrats will be in the majority in the state House and Senate.”

So far, the Michigan GOP’s strategy has been to support the Trump loyalists and spread lies about the election.

During a convention later this year, Republican delegates will select the candidates for secretary of state and secretary of justice. Trump has already approved candidates for both positions.

For the Attorney General, Trump supports Matthew DePerno, who has pushed for baseless conspiracy theories about election fraud and called Republican lawmakers “cowards” for not demanding a nationwide revision.

As Secretary of State, Trump has supported Kristina Karamo, an Oak Park educator with no political experience and who has erroneously claimed that the former president won Michigan in 2020, erroneously insisting that there was “overwhelming evidence” of election fraud in Michigan. She even traveled to Arizona in June to investigate the state Republican Party’s election audit, which in September confirmed Biden’s victory and contradicted allegations of fraud.

Much has changed since the presidential election. Courts, local and state election officials, and even members of the Trump administration have said there was no widespread fraud.

Then came January 6, when rioters stormed the U.S. capital. Fourteen Michigan residents were among those arrested for participating in the siege.

A similar poll in October 2020 showed that 40% of likely voters in Michigan had a positive view of Trump.

In the new poll, 56% of likely voters in Michigan said they viewed Trump unfavorably, and 12% said they had no opinion. Among independent voters, 56% had an unfavorable view of Trump, while 20% viewed him positively.

If Trump decides to run for president in 2024, he will face a lot of opposition, and Michigan is a major swing state.

For now, it does not look good for Trump and his loyalists.

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